• 08/11/2026
  • Report

The second tier moves up: New competitors are reshaping the global die-casting landscape

When the die-casting industry in the EU talks about new competitors from outside the bloc, one name is usually mentioned: China. It dominates the statistics, the headlines and the concerns of foundries in Europe. Yet behind the giant, a second tier of countries is emerging that are also more than mere extended workbenches. This is uncomfortable news for the industry – but on closer inspection, it also has an upside.

Written by Editors EUROGUSS 365

Representatives of Seojin and Bühler at a megacasting cell
In 2025, Seojin System installed two Carat 920 megacasting cells from Bühler in Vietnam.

When the international metals industry gathered at the Ankiros trade fair in Istanbul in autumn 2024, Kadir Efe, chairman of the Turkish Foundry Association TÜDÖKSAD, set a remarkably confident goal. His country wanted to draw level with Germany and, in the long term, become the leading foundry nation. Twenty years ago, such a statement would have been met with disbelief. Today, it sounds like a sober extrapolation of the statistics.

 

Twelve per cent growth a year

Turkey's non-ferrous casting industry, which includes die casting, grew from just over 100,000 to 740,000 tonnes between 2006 and 2022, an average annual increase of twelve per cent. Across all casting processes, Turkey produced around 640,000 tonnes of aluminium castings in 2023, according to Johannes Messer Consulting's (JMC) study "Die Casting Industry 2030 and Beyond". This was 60,000 tonnes less than Germany, where aluminium casting production had fallen to 652,000 tonnes in 2020 but recovered to 700,000 tonnes by 2024.

Looking at total ferrous and non-ferrous casting production, Turkey has ranked ahead of France since 2015 and ahead of Italy since 2018 in the rankings of the European Foundry Association (CAEF). The much-discussed shift in the industry has therefore already taken place here, while many observers kept their eyes fixed on the Far East.

 

The map is being redrawn

The reasons for this shift are well known. High energy, labour and regulatory costs weigh on Western European locations, and Germany has also seen a wave of insolvencies among well-known die casters and toolmakers since 2020. At the same time, customers are seeking shorter, more resilient supply chains and capacity closer to their markets.

Anyone who assumes that China is the sole beneficiary underestimates the diversity of the winners. The second tier comprises very different types of players, each pursuing its own strategy.

 

India is growing for its domestic market and seeking partners
 

Stand of an Indian exhibitor at EUROGUSS 2026
At EUROGUSS 2026, 30 companies from India exhibited.

By tonnage, India is already the world's second-largest casting producer after China. Around twelve million tonnes of castings of all kinds leave its roughly 4,500 foundries each year, accounting for just over one tenth of global production. Most of this is iron castings, however. For the die-casting industry, the more relevant segment is aluminium, which, according to a report linked to the Institute of Indian Foundrymen (IIF), is growing fastest at more than eleven per cent a year, driven by the automotive industry, e-mobility and renewable energy. The JMC study puts India's aluminium casting output at 1.7 million tonnes in 2022 and expects it to double to 3.5 million tonnes by 2030.

Unlike Turkey, India primarily produces for its domestic market but is actively seeking international expertise. A recent study by consultancy Munich Strategy now ranks the country among the world's most attractive growth and production locations for European machinery and plant manufacturers, including as part of China-plus-one strategies to diversify sourcing. The JMC study recommends that Europe's foundry industry pursue a cooperation strategy with India, combining European expertise with local cost efficiency.

 

Nearshoring has two faces

Morocco shows how quickly a country without a long foundry tradition can become a serious production location. Chinese wheel manufacturer CITIC Dicastal now produces up to six million aluminium wheels in the Atlantic Free Zone near Kenitra, using low-pressure casting, the standard process for wheel production. It also produces other castings. In early 2025, the World Economic Forum named the site Africa's first "Lighthouse Factory", a distinction awarded to highly digitalised factories.

South Korean manufacturer Hands Corporation operates another wheel plant in Tangier with a capacity of eight million units, while Stellantis plans to more than double vehicle production in Kenitra to 535,000 units a year. According to the JMC study, however, Morocco has not yet established high-pressure die casting in the strict sense, although the publication sees the country as a potential complementary location.

 

Megacasting in Vietnam

Vietnam's rise is even more recent, and it is taking place at the heart of the die-casting industry's core business. Korean supplier Seojin System has commissioned two megacasting cells there from Swiss machinery manufacturer Bühler, each with a clamping force of 92,000 kilonewtons – the first systems of this size in Southeast Asia. Each machine can cast up to 200,000 large structural components for electric vehicles per year, including battery trays and rear underbodies.

The counterexample to Morocco and Vietnam is currently Mexico, of all places, until recently the star of nearshoring. US tariff policy is making exports more expensive, while the OECD expects the economy to grow only slightly in 2026. The ongoing negotiations on the USMCA trade agreement are unlikely to make the situation any easier. Nearshoring therefore remains a strong trend, but also a politically vulnerable one.

 

Establishing a presence is harder than announcing one

Some of the supposedly new locations continue to be shaped by Chinese groups. The Moroccan wheel plants are backed by CITIC Dicastal, a Chinese company with state-owned roots, while companies such as BYD and Minth are building their own capacity in Eastern Europe. Anyone who sees this as unstoppable expansion should read the latest reports. BYD has postponed the start of series production at its first European passenger car plant in Szeged, Hungary, several times, most recently to the fourth quarter of 2026, although it was originally announced for the end of 2025. The plant planned in parallel in Turkey is on hold with no timetable, and Chery has also repeatedly revised the production start at its Barcelona site in Spain.

Both cases involve vehicle plants, not foundries, but they illustrate how difficult even the world's fastest-moving challengers find it to establish industrial value creation in Europe. The countervailing duties imposed by the EU on Chinese cars at the end of 2024 are having a different effect from what many expected. Rather than keeping Chinese manufacturers out, they are prompting them to produce within Europe, relying on local suppliers, skilled workers and approval procedures. This puts some predictions of decline into perspective and serves as a reminder that location-specific expertise, established supply chains and experienced skilled workers remain genuine competitive advantages.

 

Europe's hand is stronger than its mood suggests

For Europe's die-casting industry, there is both good news and bad news. On the one hand, the days when the industry only had to benchmark itself against China are over, because the second tier is already producing at relevant scale and at an increasingly high technical level. On the other hand, European technology underpins almost every rise within that second tier – from Swiss megacasting cells in Vietnam to the machines, tools and process solutions that Western European suppliers deliver to Turkey, India and North Africa. Those who view the new locations not only as rivals but also as markets and partners can participate in their growth rather than merely watch it. The JMC study sums up this approach with the phrase "cooperation rather than relocation".

No country embodies the opportunities and risks of the new global map as strongly as Morocco, where highly digitalised wheel factories are emerging while Europe's foundries compete for orders. A separate article explores whether the North African kingdom will become a key location for the European industry or a missed opportunity.
 

Author

EUROGUSS 365
Editors EUROGUSS 365
euroguss365@nuernbergmesse.de