But the assembly line itself evolved to absorb these improvements. No revolution to assembly efficiency stood to threaten the linear model — until now. Robotics, automation, industry 4.0, and blockchain all have impacts on the efficiency, cadence, and support networks of modern assembly plants.
A whole new world
OEMs are looking towards gigacasting not as a component piece, but as a change to how their entire world functions. The reconfiguration of the dance played behind factory walls will forever change economies within automotive.
Whether corner castings or single piece, whether gigacast or gigapress, a change to how vehicles come together is upon the industry. Nodal construction will replace linear, bottlenecks will arise and dissolve, and something altogether new will be born.
Gigacasting and China’s automotive sector
The rise of aluminum gigacasting in mainland China's automotive sector, especially for new energy vehicles (NEVs), is driven by weight reduction and efficiency needs. Deciding between outsourced supply chains and in-house production raises sustainability and cost concerns.
According to S&P Global Mobility, production of electric light vehicles in mainland China is expected to reach a total of 19 million units annually by 2030 — firmly establishing the country as a global leader in the EV sector. Now, China looks to exert a substantial influence in gigacasting globally.
Doing this will empower mainland China EV manufacturers to adopt more aluminum material for car-body fabrication and enhance its affordability. Consequently, it can stimulate further growth within the EV market throughout the region.
Increasing trend towards aluminium gigacasting
A recent major shift toward aluminum gigacasting modules and structural parts has been seen with NIO's ET5 and Geely's Zeekr 009 — both featuring single-piece aluminum gigacasting rear floors.
Meanwhile, Xpeng's G6 featured not only an aluminum megacasted single-piece front compartment, inclusive of front shock towers and side members, but also a single-piece rear floor. These two modules were separately cast using two sets of LK Group's 7,000-ton press force megacasting machines.
Outsourcing production promises advantages
Unlike Tesla's gigacasting production model - characterized by an in-house approach involving substantial greenfield investments in gigacasting facilities adjacent to the final assembly workshop — these automakers outsourced gigacasting to tier 1 suppliers, sparking new collaborations.
This shift holds the promise of reaping benefits by distributing responsibility between OEMs and tier 1 suppliers to jointly develop technology while also mitigating the risks associated with substantial upfront investments and potential sensitive patent infringements. That said, challenges like machine availability and technical disputes remain, which could snarl future collaborations.
Avoiding upfront investments
In the mainland Chinese model, behind the scenes, extensive preparations integrate these substantial outsourced modules from gigacasting into the body assembly line. Over the last several months, several collaborations were announced — including partnerships between Seres and Wencan, Human Horizon EV and Tuopu, and Li Auto with an undisclosed tier 1 supplier, among others.
The growing popularity of the outsourced approach to gigacasting is also evident, as it allows automakers to bypass the substantial upfront investments required to construct their own gigacasting facilities.
A costly gamble?
The cost-benefit analysis of gigacasting should be based on achieving a good-enough first-pass yield rate and maintaining a sufficient, yet not excessive, number of orders for the same part. When comparing gigacasting to conventional steel stamping or aluminum-stitching, S&P Global Mobility nonetheless assesses the unit price for a single-piece, gigacasted aluminum rear floor to be valid.
To streamline the production chain and enhance production efficiency, tier 1 gigacasting suppliers have the potential to consolidate orders from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), thereby avoiding redundant investments in gigacasting machinery. However, the downtime to switch tooling on a gigacasting machine, which often weighs several tons, can range from hours to days — inevitably reducing the utilization rate and productivity.
Frequent retooling reduces production figures
Based on our previous analysis of a typical 6,000T press force megacasting machine for rear floor module fabrication, its maximum annual capacity is estimated at 100,000 to 150,000 pieces, with cycle time of 120 to 150 seconds per piece, operating 16-20 hours a day for up to 300 working days a year, assuming a 90 percent yield rate. Frequent tooling changes for different parts on the same gigacasting machine would further reduce these output figures.
For a specific example, Tesla's Gigafactory in Shanghai Lingang is equipped with three or four sets of IDRA's gigapress units, specifically dedicated to casting the one-piece rear floor for the Model Y. The maximum production capacity for this model is estimated to reach up to 600,000 units per year, considering the scale of the gigapress units.
A schematic of a Tesla Model 3 (left) and Model Y body-in-white, comparing traditional vs. gigacast assembly. The Model 3 comprises 171 metal pieces, whereas the new gigacast Model Y rear structure requires just two pieces of metal and 1,600 fewer welds.
However, Tesla opted not to utilize gigapress technology for the all-new Model 3s produced in China, which was unveiled in August. Contrary to previous reports, this model did not feature a one-piece aluminum rear floor, nor did it incorporate a larger single-piece gigacasted underbody.
Gigacasting stands are fully occupied
As such, we assert that only a substantial number of gigacasting machines can effectively sustain the outsourced gigacasting supply chain. Why is that? Considering the maximum output volume is restricted to 150,000 pieces per year, it is evident that the existing capacity cannot support an additional program for Model 3 volumes. The mega-casting stands are fully occupied, and there are no available land resources or plans for further investment to expand the in-house capacity at Tesla's Lingang plant, at least as of now.
Machine builds machine
How can OEMs and suppliers integrate gigacasting technology with traditional body shop processes? As Elon Musk has noted, it's more complicated to make the 'machine that makes the machine' than the end product itself.
The production of a gigacasting machine entails an investment of several months, dedicated to both manufacturing and meticulous fine tuning, until the machine achieves a level of reliability and stability suitable for consistent output. These processes are undeniably labor-intensive and demand a substantial infusion of specialized knowledge.
Currently, there exists a handful of companies, (including LK Group, Buhler, Yizumi, Haitan and UBE), capable of manufacturing the gigacasting machine. Consequently, the newfound capacity for gigacasting falls short of meeting the escalating demand for electrified vehicles.
A question of compromise
There also are issues with production management on the plant floors. Megacasted single piece machines present an opportunity for OEMs to significantly reduce the presence of machines, robots, and manual labor in their traditional car body plants.
However, the implementation of two distinct manufacturing systems — the traditional body shop employing stamping and welding processes, and the gigacast model featuring fewer machining processes but necessitating new conveyor systems to handle substantial material volumes — represents a pragmatic compromise at the current juncture.
Which then begs the question of how to profitably renovate or rebuild existing production lines to incorporate outsourced gigacasting components. Such methods remain unproven and, as of now, unjustified. While capable of fabricating a portion of the underbody structural components, gigacasting does not preclude the necessity for all stamping and welding processes in the body shop.
Too much press force
The application of press force in megacasting machines has given rise to considerable debate. Normal high-pressure die-casting of aluminum typically involves press forces of less than 4,000 metric tons.
However, Tesla raised the ante with its groundbreaking innovation in 2019 to use gigacasting to fabricate the rear floor section of the Model Y — using between 6,000 and 9,000 metric tons of force. Tesla also is reportedly close to being able to die cast nearly all of the underbody of an electric vehicle in one piece.
Chinese OEMs are now diligently striving to replicate Tesla's success with gigacasting machines featuring increasingly higher press forces; there are reports of even more formidable 12,000 and 16,000 metric ton machines.
A long journey
While megacasting the body section may not yield immediate profitability, there is a collective determination within the industry to remain committed until the revolutionary future arrives. While the use of megacasting to produce body parts may require a long-term path to profitable operation, the industry is committed to developing this technology because it has the potential to rethink traditional supply chains and production.
Nevertheless, S&P Global Mobility sees numerous obstacles ahead, including challenges related to the quantity of gigacasting machines, new issues arising in plant floor management, the need to explore alternative technical solutions and more. Suppliers and OEMs should consider these impediments when evaluating the strategic horizon aligned with these casting questions.
